Name: ZHANG Xun
Title:Associate Researcher
Research Areas: Economic and Financial Forecasting
E-mail: zhangxun@amss.ac.cn
Highest Degree&Year Earned: Ph.D, 2009
Discipline:Virtual Business
Publication in the Past 5 Years:
1)English Journals&Journal Citations (SSCI/SCI/EI/CSSCI)
1."Why the Effects of Oil Price Shocks on China’s Economy are Changing", (with Wang S. and Zhao L.), The Energy Journal, 41.6, 2020 SSCI
2. “A hierarchical forecasting model for China’s foreign trade”, (with Sun Y. and Wang S.), Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 33(3): 743-759, 2020 SCI
3. “Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling”, (with Y. Sun, Y. Hong and S. Wang), Energy Economics, Energy Economics, 78: 165-173, 2019 SSCI, SCI
4. “Attention Matters: An Exploration of Relationship Between Google Search Behaviors and Crude Oil Prices” Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2019, 32(5), Page 1438-1459. With Li, X., Wang, S., & Ma, J. SCI
5. "Asymmetric pass-through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling." Energy Economics, 2019, 78 Page 165-173. With Sun, Y., Hong, Y., & Wang, S. SSCI, SCI
6. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices Based on An Internet Search Driven Model." 2018 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data). IEEE, 2018. With Tao, R., and Zhao L.
7. “How efficient are China's macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach”. Economic Modelling, 2018, 68, Page 506-513. with Sun, Y., Wang, S. SSCI
8. “The Effects of Oil Price Shocks to Output and Inflation in China” Energy Economics, 2016, 53, Page 101-110, with Zhao,L., S. Wang and S.Xu. SSCI, SCI
9. “Construction and analysis of common foreign trade cycle based on MS-VAR: An empirical study of global experience” Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2015, 49, Page 162-171, with Zhang, L., and Cheng, K SCI
10. “How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices?” Economic Modelling, 2015, 49, Page 162-171, with Li X, Wang S. and Ma. J SSCI
2) Chinese Journals&Journal Citations (SSCI/SCI/EI/CSSCI)
1. Xiaozhen Liang, Han Qiao, Shouyang Wang, Xun Zhang. Integrated prediction model of China's air passenger volume based on singular spectrum analysis [J]. System engineering theory and practice, 2017 (06) EI, CSCD, CSSI
2. Xin Li, Xun Zhang. New method of Internet search index construction and empirical research on international oil price [J]. System engineering theory and practice, 2016 (02) EI, CSCD, CSSI
Projects Statistics:
1) Number of Research Projects in the Past 5 Years: 4
2) Number of Industrial Projects in the Past 5 Years: 1
Consultancy Report adopted by the Government or Company: 5
Honor and Awards: AMSS Annual Reseaerch Progress Award; Best Paper Award of 2018 International Conference on Energy Finance; Distinguished Youth Scholar for Systems Science & Systems Engineering Research.
Social Activities: Journal of Systems Science and Information, Managing Editor; International Journal of Energy and Statistics, Editor; Advances in Information Science & Service Science, Editor; Journal of Systems Science & Complexity, Editor.
